We pointed out how closely 2021 price behavior is following 2017 price behavior:
This year, Bitcoin reached its high on January 8, only 3 days later than it did in 2017.
In 2017, the previous 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle (2021 is also a 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle), Bitcoin made an intermediate high on January 5 and an intermediate low on January 25.
This year, Bitcoin made an intermediate high on January 8, and made an intermediate low on January 28 – again, exactly 3 days later than it did in 2017.
The timing of these swing lows and highs is remarkable.
Using this data, we predict that February will not see a new all time high for the price of Bitcoin.
If the pattern continues to follow 2017 this precisely (at some point it will diverge, markets don’t repeat so precisely for extended periods of time), the new all time high for Bitcoin will not arrive in February, as the pattern in 2017 saw Bitcoin top its early January high on February 28th of that year.
Comparing 2021 to 2017, the cycle has been experiencing a 3 day delay, which would suggest a new all time high for Bitcoin will not be reached this year until March 3.
Of course, this forecast is not guaranteed. Highly charged positive crypto news events could cause Bitcoin to surge to new highs sooner, while the unexpected appearance of negative Bitcoin news sphere could delay the timing of a new all time high for Bitcoin.
We are quite certain, however, that a new all time high for Bitcoin is only a matter of time.